United States 2-Year Bond Yield - Investing.com

The Forex Indicator Number One!

Hello folk,
I wanted to share my biggest experience on how to trade the forex market.
I got to know that the smart money is in the yield market. Everything what happens in world shows the yield market. And there is one rule for currencies and their strength.
“Currencies follow yields/ interest rate”
It’s simple and you have to repeat this sentence hundreds of times in your mind. Currencies follow yields, since the interest rate tells you how worth the money is. It’s the only measurement for money. That’s what the central banks tell you, how much worth is the currency.
Now you might ask “You want me to wait for interest rate decisions of the central banks?” No! I’m telling you, read what the bond market is telling you. How is the 10years Treasury Yield moving? How is the shape of the Yield Curve and where is it going? It tells you about the economy conditions (in this case the USA) and most important the inflation. Every country has bonds they sell to get loan. In Europe you take an eye on Germany, France and Italy since they are the most strongest countries in Europe.
“So you are telling me, checking the yield curve tells me about how much worth the money is, the economy conditions and most important the inflation?” Yes!!
“What is the Yield Curve and how to understand the spread between US 10y and Japan 10y yields?”
Well, this takes to much to explain. I can tell you this: Spread between 2 Yields from different countries tells you where the currency pair will go! You can learn about the Yield Curve a lot in the internet.
Most important Links:
The Bond Market as a Forecaster for Economic Conditions
All about the Yield Curve
Steepening and Flattening Yield Curve
Bond Spreads: A Leading Indicator For Forex
I can recommend you: Read everything you can find about yields, yield curve, yield market, yield predictions, economic influence in bond yields and all the working papers which you can find in the internet about the yield curve. And if you are really smart, make an excel sheet out of it and trade the currency market like a pro.
“Currencies follow yields/ interest rate”
EDIT:
The following links are informative for you too:
Yields of all maturities and the YIELD CURVE:
World Government Bonds
To track all central bank monetary policies:
Global Monetary Policy
submitted by Ken_Edwards to Forex [link] [comments]

First R1 of some stupid deficit fear mongering video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uZLdqmA4nqw
First of all, I don't have any formal training in macroeconomics beside a course or two in college and what I've read online, but this video was actually shown in class by my prof(thankfully not an economics prof, but a finance prof nonetheless). There will be probably be some bad economics here of my own. I am sure you guys can do a far better R1 on this then I did, and I would appreciate if someone did, actually.
It is also interesting how this video is labelled "2014 Collapse" but has data from around the recession, when the government had an expansionary fiscal policy combined with a recession, leading to a larger budget deficit than usual.
At 0:37
Ever think about paying your mortgage with your credit card, that's exactly what uncle sam does(by issuing new bonds to pay interest on old bonds)
Wow, first of all, the interest rate on treasury bonds is far far lower than on any mortgage or credit cards. Secondly, a sovereign borrower is not like an individual. A sovereign government has a far, far larger credit "line", is perpetual, can increase their revenue substantially through tax raises, and their debt is actually demanded by hundreds of millions of individuals and institutions around the globe.
1:08
It's such a huge amount of money, uncle sam is running out of people to borrow money from
Standard & Poor's credit rating for the United States stands at AA+ with stable outlook. Moody's credit rating for the United States was last set at Aaa with stable outlook. Fitch's credit rating for the United States was last reported at AAA with stable outlook. . In general, a credit rating is used by sovereign wealth funds, pension funds and other investors to gauge the credit worthiness of the United States thus having a big impact on the country's borrowing costs. This page includes the government debt credit rating for the United States as reported by major credit rating agencies
http://www.statista.com/statistics/189302/trading-volume-of-us-treasury-securities-since-1990/
2:26
Remember the foreign governments that lent money to Uncle Sam, when they lent money to uncle sam, something interesting happened. It made the US look richer, and their countries look poorer
Does China investing the trillions of US forex they have on US bonds really make the US dollar appreciate?I understand capital inflows can increase demand for a currency, but did it really happen to extent that it provided a significant incentive for US companies to outsource operations, as he states later on?
When a country looks poor due to America, one dollar of our money, buys a lot of their money, so they can pay their workers only a few pennies a day. With such low labor costs, they can sell their products in America for lower prices than any American manufacturer can.
Obviously the difference in currency prices can affect the trade balance, but the inherent reason why Chinese goods and manufacturing is cheaper is because the the cost of labor and operations there is just a fraction of what it is in the US, in real terms.
2:50
The easiest way for American companies to compete, is to move their factories overseas, and pay their workers a few pennies a day too. This contributes to a recession
Ah yes, an increase in trade between China and the US and the wage depreciation among workers of America's massive industrial sector has been demonstrated to cause recessions
3:40
He[Uncle Sam] can't have the federal reserve make more money without making the inflation worse"
Obviously expansionary monetary policy tends to increase the rate of money supply growth in the economy and thus inflation, but the level of inflation wasn't above the threshold where it could be a problem. The recession actually had deflationary pressures rather inflationary,.
Since the 2008 financial crisis, the U.S. Federal Reserve has kept interest rates near zero and pursued a bond-buying program – now discontinued – known as quantitative easing. Some critics of the program alleged it would cause a spike in inflation in the U.S. dollar, but inflation peaked in 2007 and declined steadily over the next eight years. There are many, complex reasons why QE didn't lead to inflation or hyperinflation, though the simplest explanation is that the recession was a strong deflationary environment, and quantitative easing ameliorated its effect
3:57
Whether its in two months or two years, the day will come when uncle sam can no longer pay its bills
Its been more than two years since this video was posted on youtube(most likely just a retitled version of an older video), the US government still has by far the best credit rating in the world.
submitted by FlairCannon to badeconomics [link] [comments]

A case for trading Treasury Bond Futures Investopedia Video: Zero-Coupon Bond - YouTube What is the treasury yield? Yahoo Finance explains - YouTube Bonds Explained for Beginners  Bond Trading 101 - YouTube Investopedia Video: Introduction To Bond Investing - YouTube TraderTalk - US Bond Yields and USD/JPY Trading Identifying Trading Opportunities in Treasury Bond Futures ...

If you're looking to diversify your investment portfolio, you'll surely consider buying some stocks, be it in the UAE or abroad. And if you're risk-averse, a US T-bonds (also known as the long bond; they have long maturities, ranging from 20 to 30 years) ... to long-term Italian treasury bonds with maturities ranging from 3 years up to 30 years). Though the liquidity and risk is dependent on the government in question, as a general rule, government bonds tend to be liquid, and are perceived as low-risk, particularly for countries with large ... Stay on top of current and historical data relating to United States 2-Year Bond Yield. The yield on a Treasury bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond to maturity. The U.S. bond market is over $40 trillion and spans the full gamut of investor profiles from safety-minded treasury buyers to risk takers rolling the dice on high-yield bonds. Treasury bonds (T-bonds) are fixed-rate U.S. government debt securities with a maturity range between 10 and 30 years. T-bonds pay semiannual interest payments until maturity, at which point the ... Get our 10 year Treasury Bond Note overview with live and historical data. The yield on a 10 yr treasury bill represents the return an investor will receive by holding the bond for 10 years. T-Bonds are also issued at and mature at a $100 par value and pay interest semiannually. Treasury bonds are auctioned monthly. Bonds are auctioned at original issue in February, May, August, and ...

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A case for trading Treasury Bond Futures

Futures and forex trading have large potential rewards, but also contain substantial risk and is not for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than the initial investment ... A debt security that doesn't pay interest (a coupon) but is traded at a deep discount, rendering profit at maturity when the bond is redeemed for its full fa... Learn how you can create fixed income and a more diversified portfolio with bonds. Try a free practice account today: https://www.infinityfutures.com/practiceaccount.aspx The Treasury Bond futures may be better than gold futures since they ... Earn up to 1 Year Free: https://bit.ly/2oul70h Free Resources: https://bit.ly/2wymZbJ A bond is a type of loan issued to some type of entity such as a busine... Learn how US 10 yr Bond Yields correlate with USD/JPY and how this can trump trump USD weakness. How is EUR/JPY affected? Yahoo Finance's Brian Cheung breaks down the treasury yield curve in detail and explains why it can be an indicator of a recession. Subscribe to Yahoo Financ...

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